The US is currently off track on its ODA commitment as compared with a straight-line trajectory, but DATA estimates it has sufficient increases in the pipeline to fulfill its commitment by 2010. The US has been a clear leader on HIV/AIDS and malaria and has made significant contributions to Africa's peace and security. The latest (2006) DAC spending figures reveal that it did not emphasise primary education or water and sanitation as much as other G8 members. The US ranks last among the G7 on aid quality and, despite pressure from the White House and other quarters for reform, domestic policy indicates little encouragement for a pro-development outcome from the Doha negotiations.
In 2007, US ODA net of bilateral debt relief to sub-Saharan Africa increased by $413 million or 8.26% from 2006 levels. To be on track as determined by a straight-line trajectory, DATA estimates that the US should have increased its ODA by $950 million - an increase of 19%. To date, between 2004 and 2007 it delivered a total increase of $581 million.
- 2010 TARGET $8.8bn
- 2007 ODA $5,414bn
- CHANGE 2006-07 $413m
- CHANGE 2004-07 $581m
- % OF INCREASE ACHIEVED 15%
- INCREASE NEEDED 2007-08 $1,2bn ($1,1bn IN 2004 PRICES)
- ESTIMATED INCREASE 2007-08 $940m ($868m IN 2004 PRICES)
DATA estimates that the US will increase ODA to sub-Saharan Africa by $940 million ($868 million in 2004 prices) in 2008, a level more than twice as high as the increase between 2006 and 2007. This increase, however, would still fall short of the $1.2 billion $1.1 billion in 2004 prices increase needed to be on a steady track. Based on the known pipeline for sub-Saharan Africa, DATA estimates that US disbursements for the region in 2010 will total approximately $8.9 billion in 2004 prices, slightly exceeding the commitment made at Gleneagles.