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I wanted to report back on another interesting session that I attended during last week’s UN Conference. It was titled “Recovering from Global Crisis: Towards an Action plan for Africa and the Least Developed Countries” and included Dr Dipu Moni, the Foreign Minister of Bangladesh; Dr Asha-Rose Migiro, UN Deputy Secretary-General; and Mr Cheick Sidi Diarra, UN Under-Secretary-General, Special Adviser for Africa and High Representative for the Least Developed Countries (as represented left-to-right in the photo).
At the start of the session, Mr Cheick Sidi Diarra stated that Africa and the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) will likely be hit hardest by the global financial crisis. Many of these countries lack the “fiscal space” to pursue countercyclical measures to protect their industries (think “bail outs”) and to fund social safety net programs (think healthcare, education and social services). He warned that a reduction in Official Development Assistance (ODA) would make the prospect of meeting the MDGs even more remote and urged donor governments to: 1) deliver on the commitments they made at Gleneagles in 2005 as well as the recent G20 meeting; 2) resist protectionist trade policies; 3) finalize the Doha trade agreements; and 4) pursue reforming the global financial system, as to protect against instabilities and guard against future collapses. As he said, these steps are critical “to laying the foundation for future growth and sustainable development.”
Dr Asha-Rose Migiro echoed the call for G8 countries to meet their 2005 Gleneagles commitments, mentioning that aid to Africa is about $20 billion short of the 2010 target of $50 billion per year. As she stated, “there is abundant evidence that aid can help transform lives and must remain a central part of the global development agenda.” She outlined what the UN considers their highest funding priorities, which are: 1) to close the funding gap for the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, TB and Malaria and the Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunizations; 2) to provide agricultural development, including that for subsistence farmers; 3) to improve health systems and infrastructure for the world’s poor; 4) to ensure universal access to education, in support of the Education for All’s Fast Track Initiative; 5) to improve water and sanitation systems; and 6) to meet the gap for clean energy development. That being said, she said that we all must recognize that aid works best in conjunction with market forces.
Dr Dipu Moni picked up on this statement, arguing that trade ¬can be the engine for growth and calling for the conclusion of the Doha Development Round, which could boost the global economy by at least $150 billion and would help fulfill its development mandate. She pointed out that even though the G20 countries pledged not to turn inward, at least 17 of them have already broken their promises and have instituted protectionist and nationalistic trade policies, such as tariffs, trade-distorting subsidies and buy national requirements that favor domestic goods. She said that the current crisis will have a serious impact on trade and that the outlook for 2009 is pessimistic, with the World Trade Organization (WTO) estimating that global trade volumes will fall by 9% in 2009, the largest decline since World War II.
Dr Asha-Rose Migiro ended the session by calling Member States to build upon the Conference to forge a new multilateralism and stronger global collaboration so that we can enter 2010 and the decade beyond with the global financial crisis behind us, a climate change plan in hand and working towards the achievement of the MDGs.
-Margaret McDonnell
Yesterday afternoon, I attended a side event during the UN Conference to launch the Joint Publication by the five UN Regional Commissions on “The Global Economic and Financial Crisis: Regional Impacts, Responses and Solutions.” <!– /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:”Cambria Math”; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:1; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-format:other; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1073750139 0 0 159 0;} @font-face {font-family:Verdana; panose-1:2 11 6 4 3 5 4 4 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:536871559 0 0 0 415 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:”"; margin-top:0in; margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:10.0pt; margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:”Calibri”,”sans-serif”; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:”Times New Roman”;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; font-size:10.0pt; mso-ansi-font-size:10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} –> Asha-Rose Migiro, the UN Deputy Secretary-General, spoke to the fact that no region in the world has been spared by the financial crisis as all are facing a decline in trade, remittances and capital flows and in turn, rising unemployment and poverty. As stated by Noeleen Heyzer, the Current Coordinator of the Regional Commissions, while the financial crisis is global in nature, enhanced cooperation and collaboration on the regional level will be vital towards addressing the challenges and developing innovative solutions towards recovery. The floor was then handed over for each of the Executive Secretaries of the Regional Commissions to speak about the effect that the crisis has had in their regions.
Mr Abdoulie Janneh, the Executive Secretary for the UN Economic Commission of Africa, argued that while Africa might have been expected to be less affected by the global financial crisis (as it has been less integrated in the global economy and has smaller financial markets), the crisis has already reached most African countries, reducing growth and threatening hard-won achievements in human development. He said that their biggest concern is that donors may reduce Official Development Assistance (ODA) flows to the region, which would reduce the ability of African countries to boost growth and to achieve the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). As reflected in the report, “Donors will therefore need to honour their existing commitments to enable governments in the region to protect the vulnerable and prevent more people from falling into poverty.” In closing, he pleaded that that Africa’s challenges are too great to face alone and will require international involvement in aid, climate change, investment and trade.
The findings and recommendations for each region can be found in the publication.
Meanwhile, Miki attended the side event called the “People’s Right Before Corporate Profits.” The key guest speaker of the event was Mr. Raphael Correa, President of Ecuador. President Evo Morales of Bolivia was also scheduled to attend the event, but he was apparently unable to come to NY due to technical problems with his official plane. President Correa, an economist by training, expressed strong criticism to capitalism, the structure of the current global financial and trading system for its role in the global economic and financial crisis. He told the mainly civil society audience that the policies of liberalism, that is, free movements of capital, only benefit the multinationals and those at the top. As a consequence, the world is experiencing a “dictatorship of capital” – and ultimately, lower income workers are those who lose out in such a system. He went as far as to say that if he had his way, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, two bodies within the group of so-called Bretton Woods institutions, would be dismantled. Failing such drastic measures, these institutions, which were set up in the aftermath of World War II, should at least hold less power over the world’s poor countries. His powerful words were welcomed by a standing ovation.
-Margaret McDonnell and Miki Imai
We spent yesterday in the United Nations headquarters in New York for the UN Conference on the global economic crisis and watched the opening plenary session live on a big screen in a designated room with our NGO colleagues.
Mr. Miguel d’Escoto Brockmann, the President of the General Assembly, stated at the outset of his speech that we are meeting because “we are going through the most singular moment in human history when our common future is at stake.” He said we must acknowledge that the current economic and financial crisis is the result of “an egotistical and irresponsible way of living, producing, consuming and establishing relationships among ourselves and with nature that involved systematic aggression against Earth and its ecosystems,” which masked social imbalance and global social injustice. He called for “a sustainable way of life,” which stems from a shared vision of the values and principles that promote the well-being of present and future generations, and a creation of a new global ethic to share our common global good that is the “Mother Earth.” This should be extended in dealing with the concerns of environment as well as humanitarian issues including poverty, which is a “time bomb” against humanities of all societies. He concluded his moving speech with a plea that that we “arm ourselves with solidarity and cooperation in order to make a qualitative leap forward to a future of peace and well-being.” You can read a transcript of his speech here.
UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon also raised concerns that the world is “still struggling to overcome the worst ever global financial and economic crisis since the founding of the United Nations more than 60 years ago.” He called the international community to take three urgent actions. First, he stated the need for real time data on the vulnerability of the crisis to the poor. In this regard, he informed us that the UN is leading the construction of a global crisis alert mechanism. Second, the international community must keep their commitments on their development targets including the 2005 Gleneagles commitments made by the G8 leaders. Third, he called for the international community to work together to reform the world institutions. “The world institutions created generations ago must be made more accountable, more representative and more effective.” Ban Ki-Moon also said he had just sent a letter to leaders of the G8 urging “concrete commitments and specific action to renew our resolve.”
Yesterday afternoon, we attended a dialogue between the civil society participants and the Commission of Experts on the Reforms of the International Monetary and Financial Systems, convened by the President of the General Assembly. Professor Joseph Stiglitz, the chair of the commission, gave an overview of the recommendations that was released ahead of the Conference and answered questions from the civil society participants. He called for a package of strong, coordinated and effective actions to stimulate the global economy and a number of systemic reforms of the current financial systems, including the creation of a new global reserve system to better deal with risks, and better surveillance systems. He criticized the recent G20’s attempt in tackling the financial crisis, as follows– grants should be provided to the poor rather than debt-incurring loans, their agreements on regulation were more cosmetic than real, and too much of the new resources to the poor will be provided by the IMF, who has been criticized for imposing harmful conditions in return for IMF funding. In his closing remarks, Stiglitz reminded us that the financial crisis is an opportunity for us to change the current skewed global financial and economic system, but that there is a real danger that real reforms will be blocked by a number of governments who do not want to make those changes. Encouragingly, the Commission added that continuous pressure by civil society on governments to make the necessary reforms will be vital in preventing this from happening. The Commission’s report can be found here.
Check back for more updates from the UN!
-Mikiko Imai
This morning, Miki Imai and I are heading to the United Nations Conference on the Financial and Economic Crisis and its Impact on Development. This UN Conference will be a valuable opportunity for all countries- developed and developing alike- to have a seat at the table to discuss possible solutions to this systemic crisis. As indicated on the website, the purpose of the Conference is “to identify emergency and long-term responses to mitigate the impact of the crisis, especially on vulnerable populations, and initiate a needed dialogue on the transformation of the international financial architecture, taking into account the needs and concerns of all Member States.” For more information about the Conference, including background materials, official documents and side events, go to: http://www.un.org/ga/econcrisissummit/
During the Conference, we will meet with other civil society organizations and social movements from around the globe that have come to NYC to demonstrate solidarity with the world’s poorest people. Numerous organizations and networks have rallied behind 10 Days of Action: Countdown to Commitments, which “aims to mobilize public opinion and deliver the message to world leaders that civil society is watching and expects just, equitable and sustainable solutions to the financial and economic crisis which are focused on the urgent needs of people and the planet.” To learn more about the 10 Days of Action here.
Keep posted for more updates from the Ccnference!
-Margaret McDonnell, ONE’s NGO Partnerships (US) & Faith Relations Team
Several months after the global financial crisis hit, many news reports suggest that we may be nearing the end of the downturn here in the U.S. Unfortunately, we can’t say the same for developing countries, particularly in Africa. A sobering study from The Overseas Development Institute finds that the global financial crisis is hitting the developing world far harder than previously thought.
In the study, ODI identifies four “transmission belts” through which the effects of the financial downturn reach the countries: trade, aid, private financial flows, and remittances (money emigrants send back to their home countries). Each of these areas has taken a hit from the financial crisis.
Trade results vary from country to country, but ODI says that “the value of trade is declining” everywhere. Regarding financial flows, all countries showed a dramatic drop in portfolio investment. In Africa, banks have tightened credit restrictions and even put the issuing of bonds on hold in some countries. The study found that the money received from remittances had fallen in every country, and may fall up to 14% this year. ODI also found that the crisis directly affects private finances in developing countries.
The study also looked at economic growth in each country. Predicting further dramatic fallout, ODI also reports that economic growth slowed across the board last year, along with significant drops in employment. Forecasts for growth have been revised downward for each country. ODI also predicts that the number of households in poverty in each country will rise far more than they would have without the crisis.
The good news is that, according to the study, there is no evidence so far that the economic crisis is causing a decrease in aid to developing countries. However, ODI claims that there aren’t adequate policy responses for these newly low predictions, and therefore both developed and developing countries need to “ask themselves whether growth and development strategies, economic policies and institutions need a complete rethink in these turbulent times.”
See the report and links to papers on each transmission belt and country here.
-Grace Lamb-Atkinson, ONE U.S. Communications Intern
The World Bank has announced that it will triple its social safety net spending. This amounts to 12 billion dollars over the next two years “to help developing nations weather the global financial crisis.”
Excerpts below, full piece here
The World Bank said it was increasing investments in social protection programs in health and education “to protect the most vulnerable people from the worst effects of the global economic crisis.”
The investments will be in the form of loans to governments to finance the creation or the improvement of programs for the poor.“This lending includes rapid social response programs and conditional cash transfers, where families are granted money transfers in exchange for sending their children to school and for regular medical checkups,” the 185-nation development lender said in a statement.
-Chris Scott
I’m in London at a briefing day as a part of a project called G20 Voice. With an inspired idea and a lot of work, the core group running this project have gotten 50 bloggers, from across the globe, accredited for the official media room at tomorrow’s G20 Summit. It will be the first time that civil society has ever been admitted into a global summit of this size.
The briefing began with an introduction by Karina Brisby of Oxfam GB who spoke of the origin of this project.
She told us that last summer she watched YouTube videos of the bloggers tent at the Democratic National Convention and she was inspired by the bloggers’ abilities to cover so many issues at the DNC that were being passed over by the mainstream media.
Next, Karina watched the November 2008 G20 in Wahsington, DC, on the news, and was worried that the press was not covering how the fiscal crisis was affecting those living in poverty.
So, then Karina got to work, getting buy-in from Oxfam GB, and then submitting lots and lots of forms to the UK government. Over time, Save the Children, Blue State Digital and ONE joined as partners.
Today- 50 bloggers are sitting in this briefing room, bloggers from each of the G20 countries and 15 from the developing world. Tomorrow, we’ll pass through all of the security and barricades to enter the G20 Summit.
OK- I’m getting back to listening to the briefing.
-Virginia Simmons
New research commissioned by ONE found that investing $50 billion in a stimulus package for Africa would have real benefits both for Africa, and for the rest of the world, increasing global income by $250 billion over the next ten years. This research reinforces our main message to the G20 leaders ahead of their Summit in London next week — that they must include the poorest in any global solution to the current crisis, both because they will be hardest hit, and also because their economic growth can be part of the long term solution. The main findings of the research were:
The research was carried out by Overseas Development Institute (ODI) and the National Institute of Economics and Social Research, ahead of the G20 Summit held in London on 2 April. The research serves as a backbone our policy asks that we’ve put forward to G20 leaders. In the next few days, we’ll be highlighting some of the key issues we’re hoping to see addressed during the G20 Summit in London next week.
-Mikiko Imai, ONE Policy Analyst
Today President Barack Obama is running an op-ed in 31 publications around the world including the Chicago Tribune, the Arab Times, and the China Morning Post just to name a few. This comes in anticipation of the G20 Summit in London next week and is an effort to ease global concerns about the financial crisis. In it, he asserts the US’s role as a global leader through the economic situation, and makes particular mention of the effects on the world’s poorest people.
Excerpt below, full op-ed here
We are living through a time of global economic challenges that cannot be met by half measures or the isolated efforts of any nation. Now, the leaders of the G-20 have a responsibility to take bold, comprehensive and coordinated action that not only jump-starts recovery, but launches a new era of economic engagement to prevent a crisis like this from ever happening again.
[…] we have an economic, security and moral obligation to extend a hand to countries and people who face the greatest risk. If we turn our backs on them, the suffering caused by this crisis will be enlarged, and our recovery will be delayed because markets for our goods will shrink further and more American jobs will be lost. The G-20 should quickly deploy resources to stabilize emerging markets, substantially boost the emergency capacity of the International Monetary Fund and help regional development banks accelerate lending. Meanwhile, America will support meaningful investments in food security that can help the poorest.
-Chris Scott
A World Bank report released on 8 March projects that global GDP will decline this year for the first time since World War II. The new report revised earlier estimates that emerging markets would sustain and grow the world economy even as the economies of developed countries contracted. The report was released ahead of the G20 finance ministers’ meeting to be held in London later this week. The report predicts that developing countries face a financial gap of $270-$700 billion caused by the global recession, and warns that even at the lower end of this range, international financial institutions such as the World Bank and IMF cannot by themselves currently cover the shortfall that includes mounting public and private debt and trade deficits.
The report also highlighted earlier analysis that poverty (people living below $1.25 per day) will increase by around 46 million people in 2009 (and by 53 million for those living below $2 per day), caused by adverse effects on employment and wages as well as slowing remittance flows. The crisis will be a major setback to the progress towards the Millennium Development Goals, as the long run consequences of the crisis may be more severe than those observed in the short run. For example, when poor households withdraw their children from school, there is a significant risk that they will not return once the crisis is over, or that they will not be able to recover the learning gaps resulting from the missed months or years of school attendance. The World Bank also warns that infant deaths in developing countries may be 200,000-400,000 per year higher on average between 2009 and the MDG target year of 2015 than they would have been in the absence of the crisis, according to its preliminary analysis.
The report concludes that stabilization, protecting longer-term growth and development, and protecting the vulnerable will be the main challenges for developing and emerging market countries, but pursuing these objectives requires significant resources which low income countries lack. As a response to the crisis, the World Bank is calling on developed nations to dedicate 0.7% of the money they spend on stimulus programmes (the G20’s announced fiscal stimulus collectively amounts to almost $1 trillion for 2008 and 2009 as of end of January, with a further $650 billion in 2010) toward a Vulnerability Fund to help developing countries absorb the shock of the financial crisis. Some G20 countries such as the UK have expressed interest in this idea, but to date, none of the countries has committed to it. The upcoming G20 finance ministers’ meeting will be an important moment to discuss this proposal.
-Mikiko Imai
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TAGS: Financial Crisis, Policy News, United Nations